Marcus Chen
Senior Editor · odds.guru
Marcus Chen is a senior editor at odds.guru with over eight years of experience covering sports betting and prediction markets. Previously a data journalist at ESPN, he specializes in translating complex odds and market movements into actionable insights for both novice and experienced bettors. Marcus holds a degree in statistics from UC Berkeley.
- Articles
- 180
- Since
- Apr 2026
- Last active
- Jul 5, 2026
- Primary beat
- FOOTBALL
Marcus’s recent articles
UFC Bet Sizing and Bankroll Strategy
How to stake a single-event sport: flat units for a sport where one punch beats a perfect read, stake tiers for moneylines, methods and live bets, and the card-night discipline that stops the leaks.
Jul 5, 2026
UFC Over/Under Rounds Betting Explained
How fight duration totals work — where 1.5, 2.5 and 4.5 round lines settle, how finish-rate profiles set the number, why weight class moves it, and how to pair duration bets with method reads.
Jul 5, 2026
MMA Stats That Predict Outcomes
Which MMA numbers actually move win probability — strike differential, takedown defence, age and context stats — and why small career samples make every one of them noisier than team-sport data.
Jul 5, 2026
MMA vs Boxing Betting: What Changes
Judging criteria, draw risk, finish rates, rounds formats and matchmaking economics — the real differences between betting MMA and boxing, and where each sport's prices are softest.
Jul 5, 2026
UFC Parlay Betting: Card-Night Strategy
Why fight cards make parlays so tempting, how the bookmaker's margin compounds with every leg, why heavy-favourite parlays fail more than they look like they should, and when a small parlay is genuinely fine.
Jul 5, 2026
Live UFC Betting: How to Bet Mid-Fight
How live UFC markets reprice round by round, what the market gets wrong about judging, how to read cardio fades and corners, and why the between-rounds window beats betting mid-round.
Jul 5, 2026
Method of Victory Betting Explained
How method of victory markets work in MMA and boxing: what the KO, submission and decision prices tell you, how they break down the moneyline, and when round groups or inside-the-distance are the smarter bet.
Jul 5, 2026
Golf Bet Sizing and Bankroll Strategy
Staking for a sport built on longshots: why long losing runs are normal, how to size outrights versus matchups, and where each-way fits in managing variance.
Jul 3, 2026
Golf Futures and Outright Betting
How golf outrights and futures work: why the odds are huge, how much margin a full-field book carries, ante-post rules for majors, and season-long markets.
Jul 3, 2026
Golf Stats That Predict Outcomes
Which golf statistics actually forecast results: strokes gained in plain language, why approach play beats putting for prediction, and how to judge course fit honestly.
Jul 3, 2026
Golf Matchup Betting (72-Hole and Round Matchups)
Head-to-head golf betting explained: 72-hole versus round matchups, how bookmakers shade star names, and the settlement rules that decide close calls.
Jul 3, 2026
Masters Betting Guide
Why the Masters is the most bettable golf event of the year: Augusta course history, the small invitational field, winner profiles, and the markets beyond the outright.
Jul 3, 2026
Live Golf Betting: How to Bet Mid-Tournament
How to bet golf while it's being played: reading four days of repricing, cut-line dynamics, weather waves and draws, and the live spots worth attacking versus the traps.
Jul 3, 2026
Each-Way Golf Betting Explained
How each-way golf bets split your stake between win and place, why place terms and fractions differ across bookmakers, and how dead-heat rules change what your ticket pays.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Bet Sizing and Bankroll Strategy
How to size NBA bets across a 1,230-game season: flat units, different stakes per market, tilt defences, and the discipline of not betting.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Futures Bets Explained
How NBA futures markets are built, why the hold dwarfs game vig, which markets reward analysis, and when hedging a position makes sense.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Stats That Predict Outcomes
The short list of numbers that actually predict NBA games — ratings, pace, the four factors — and why three-point variance swamps everything over short samples.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Back-to-Backs, Rest and Schedule Betting
What rest and schedule are really worth in NBA markets, why the obvious fatigue angle is already priced, and where totals and props still leak value.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Playoffs Betting Guide
What changes when the playoffs start: series maths, shortened rotations, lower totals, the truth about home court and zig-zag, and how to bet between games.
Jul 3, 2026
Live NBA Betting: How to Bet Mid-Game
How live NBA markets reprice on pace and score, why runs get overbet, what foul trouble and garbage time do to prices, and where the live total falls behind.
Jul 3, 2026
NBA Player Props Explained
Why NBA prop lines are medians rather than averages, how minutes and usage decide outcomes, and what alt-line pricing and low limits tell you about the market.
Jul 3, 2026
NHL Bet Sizing and Bankroll Strategy
How to size NHL bets across sides, live, props and futures, what overtime randomness does to losing runs, and how to survive a nightly slate without leaking money.
Jul 3, 2026
NHL Futures Bets Explained
What sits on the NHL futures board, why the playoff format makes Cup bets so hard to cash, where points totals offer a fairer fight, and how repricing works.
Jul 3, 2026
NHL Stats That Predict Outcomes
The short list of numbers that actually predict NHL games — shot attempts, expected goals, PDO and special teams — and how to read them without fooling yourself.
Jul 3, 2026