Skip to content
Markets
Markets updating…
OddsGuru

Zverev won the US Open and didn't realize

Zverev closed out Ben Shelton in four sets at Flushing Meadows, then explained the flat reaction — he had the scoreline wrong in his head and thought there was another game to play.

M

By

News & Analysis · odds.guru

Published 6 min read
Zverev won the US Open and didn't realize
Quick Take
  1. 1.The Zverev US Open title went to the German on 13 September, a 6–3, 7–6(7–2), 5–7, 6–2 win over Ben Shelton in the men's singles final at Flushing Meadows.
  2. 2.It is his second major of 2026 after Roland Garros, and the first US Open men's singles crown for a German since Boris Becker in 1989.
  3. 3.The unresolved part is whether a 2–7 record against top-10 opponents this season holds up once Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are both back and healthy in 2027.

The Zverev US Open title was already sealed, official and engraved-in-waiting for a second or two before the man who had just won it caught up. Zverev converted match point, then stood more or less still — no collapse to the court, no arms out, the body language of a player waiting to walk back and serve again. Speaking to ESPN afterwards, he explained why: he had the score wrong.

The Zverev US Open title point, misread as 5-1

"Well, I thought the score was 5-1, to be honest," Zverev said. "I thought it was 5-1, which helped me; I probably would have served, like, three double faults instead of one!"

He had broken Shelton twice in the fourth set. He knew that much. What he did not have was the arithmetic. "I knew that I broke it twice, but… Yeah. It was a long match, long two weeks, so. In the end, I'm happy."

The detail matters more than a clip of a flat celebration usually would, because of where Zverev had been standing the last time he served for this trophy. In the 2020 final he led Dominic Thiem by two sets, served for the championship, and lost in a fifth-set tiebreak — the defining entry in a six-year file on his record in the biggest matches.

Six years on, the pressure was apparently not in the room at all. "I was very stressed playing the French Open final and winning my first major," he said, "but today, I was just enjoying being out there."

Seven matches, two five-setters, no sets dropped after the first week

Zverev's route to the final was not clean early and then stopped being interesting. He needed five sets in each of his first two matches, against Lorenzo Sonego and Quentin Halys, and then lost one set in the following five rounds — the third, to Shelton.

  • R128: beat Lorenzo Sonego 6–4, 3–6, 6–7(7), 7–5, 6–4
  • R64: beat Quentin Halys 6–4, 4–6, 7–6(3), 6–7(3), 6–3
  • R32: beat Alejandro Tabilo 6–2, 7–6(2), 6–2
  • R16: beat Luciano Darderi 6–2, 6–2, 7–6(3)
  • QF: beat Botic van de Zandschulp 6–2, 7–5, 6–1
  • SF: beat Karen Khachanov 6–3, 7–6(7), 7–6(6)
  • F: beat Ben Shelton 6–3, 7–6(7–2), 5–7, 6–2
The draw around him fell apart in ways that are worth stating plainly rather than pretending away. Sinner, the world No. 1, did not play — the first absence of a reigning No. 1 from this tournament, and the reason Zverev arrived as top seed at a major for the first time in his career. Novak Djokovic lost in the first round to Mariano Navone, only the third opening-round defeat of his career at a major and his earliest exit from one since the 2006 Australian Open. Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, playing his first singles event in more than four months after a wrist injury, went out in the quarter-finals.

That produced a fortnight of records nobody plans for: no member of the Big Three reached the second round of a major for the first time since the 2003 French Open, and Djokovic's loss dropped him out of the top 10 for the first time since July 2018 — the first time since October 2002 that none of the three has been ranked there.

Becker, 1989, and the 37 years in between

Zverev is the first German man to win the US Open men's singles since Boris Becker in 1989. Germany's long wait ends with a player who has spent most of a decade being told he was the wrong kind of contender: consistently top-five, repeatedly beaten at the last step.

On the other side of the net, Shelton carried his own historical marker into the final. He is the first African-American man to reach a major singles final since MaliVai Washington at Wimbledon in 1996, and the first to reach one at the US Open since Arthur Ashe in 1972. His quarter-final win over Alcaraz finished at 3:33 a.m., the latest finish in the tournament's history.

The final itself did not reward the buildup. Shelton took the third set but never sustained pressure on the Zverev serve, and the German was not required to find a top gear.

From 0-for-4 in finals to two majors in three months

Zverev has now played six Grand Slam finals and won two. Both wins came in the last three months.

YearEventOpponentResult
2020US OpenDominic ThiemLoss, 2–6, 4–6, 6–4, 6–3, 7–6(8–6)
2024French OpenCarlos AlcarazLoss, 6–3, 2–6, 5–7, 6–1, 6–2
2025Australian OpenJannik SinnerLoss, 6–3, 7–6(7–4), 6–3
2026French OpenFlavio CobolliWin, 6–1, 4–6, 6–4, 6–7(5–7), 6–1
2026WimbledonJannik SinnerLoss, 6–7(7–9), 7–6(7–2), 6–3, 6–4
2026US OpenBen SheltonWin, 6–3, 7–6(7–2), 5–7, 6–2

Grand Slam final results for Alexander Zverev, 2020–2026.

The season behind it is the best of his career: 53–13 overall, 25–2 at majors — a 92.6% win rate in best-of-five — with semi-final or better finishes at all four Grand Slam events. He reached four finals across the year and won two of them.

Zverev framed the run as something close to restitution. "I feel like God has seen how much we struggled as a team on the tennis court, and how many heartbreaks we had," he said. "So he was like, you know what? This is your year."

He also priced his own expectations honestly. "Three months ago, if you told me you're gonna win one in your career, I would have signed that paper," he said, before landing on the line that will follow him into the off-season: "I'm happy to be a two-time Grand Slam champion."

One number complicates the coronation. Against top-10 opposition in 2026, Zverev went 2–7, and 0–6 against players ranked above him. Neither of his major titles required beating a top-five player. That is not an argument against the trophies — Roland Garros and the US Open are won by whoever survives the fortnight — but it is the variable that decides what 2027 looks like, when Sinner returns to the US Open draw and Alcaraz arrives with a healthy wrist.

Related Market

What do you think?

Will Tucker Carlson be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Share:
M

Contributor

News & Analysis · odds.guru

View Marcus's profile

Marcus Chen covers news, industry developments, and timely analysis for odds.guru. His archive also includes earlier guides and platform explainers.

Industry newsSports bettingPrediction markets

About this byline: Marcus Chen is an editorial pen name used by odds.guru for news and analysis, with earlier guides and platform explainers retained under the same byline. Articles carrying this byline are approved by an accountable editor under our editorial standards. Read our editorial standards.

Related guide: How to Bet on Tennis: The Complete Guide

AI & editorial disclosure

OddsGuru may use AI tools to support research, drafting, editing, formatting, and production workflows. Every published article is reviewed and approved by an editor before publication. AI tools do not publish articles independently, and editorial responsibility remains with the OddsGuru team. Read our AI usage policy

Affiliate & risk disclosure

OddsGuru may earn a commission when readers visit partners through links on this page. Our news coverage is informational only and should not be treated as betting, financial, legal, or investment advice. Odds, prices, markets, availability, and eligibility can change. Always check the operator's terms and gamble responsibly. Affiliate disclosure · Responsible trading · Terms