Skip to content
Markets
Markets updating…
OddsGuru

Valkyries playoff berth sealed 18 days sooner than in 2025

Golden State's 78-70 win over Dallas at Chase Center on Aug. 17 was a sixth straight victory and a second postseason trip in two years of existence.

M

By

News & Analysis · odds.guru

Published 6 min read
Valkyries playoff berth sealed 18 days sooner than in 2025
Quick Take
  1. 1.Golden State beat the Dallas Wings 78-70 at Chase Center on Aug. 17 to seal a Valkyries playoff berth for the second season running, a sixth straight win that moved the team to 25-9.
  2. 2.The franchise that became the first WNBA expansion team to reach the postseason in its debut year has now repeated it, joining a group of 14 teams in North American professional sports to make the playoffs in each of their first two seasons.
  3. 3.Seeding is the live question: Golden State sits three games behind Minnesota, lost the season series to Las Vegas 0-3, and hosts the Lynx on Wednesday.
  4. 4.Golden State's win over Dallas on Monday night secured a Valkyries playoff berth in mid-August, 18 days earlier on the calendar than the franchise's first clinch a year ago, and with a record that has nothing to do with sneaking in. At 25-9, the Valkyries hold the second-best mark in the WNBA behind the Minnesota Lynx, and they are the third team to lock up a postseason place this season after Minnesota and Las Vegas.

The 18-3 run that settled it

Golden State missed 10 of its first 13 shots. Dallas made seven of its first 10 and led 15-8, which is roughly how the Valkyries have started plenty of games this season and roughly how little it has mattered.

Tiffany Hayes ended the first quarter with a 3-pointer from just inside half court to put the hosts ahead 20-19. The second quarter is where the game went away: an 18-3 run over the final 5:55, an 11-0 close, and a 44-28 halftime lead.

The defensive numbers carried the rest. Golden State forced 18 turnovers and converted them into 20 points, and held Dallas to 22% from 3-point range. Paige Bueckers went 1-for-7 in the first half and finished with 21 points on 8-of-18 shooting — with seven turnovers. Arike Ogunbowale added 17 and Alanna Smith 13 for the Wings, who lost for the fifth time in six games and needed a late run to make the margin respectable enough that head coach Natalie Nakase kept her starters on the floor to the end.

Where the points came from:

  • Gabby Williams — 23 points, the game high, plus the primary assignment on Bueckers.
  • Veronica Burton — 16 points, five assists, four rebounds.
  • Tiffany Hayes — 10 points off the bench, including the quarter-ending 3.
  • Janelle Salaün — 10 points off the bench.
  • Bench scoring — Golden State 27, Dallas 12.
The Valkyries shot 12 for 36 from long range. Centre Kiah Stokes played 23 minutes in her first game back from concussion protocol, having missed the previous home win over Chicago.

The Valkyries playoff berth arrived 18 days sooner than in 2025

Twelve months ago this was a scramble. Golden State needed a win over the same opponent, in the same building, on Sept. 4 to get in as the No. 8 seed, and it took an 84-80 result to do it.

This time the magic number was down to one before tip-off, and the clinch came as the 25th win of a season that has already rewritten the franchise record. Golden State has won 15 of its last 17.

2025 clinch2026 clinch
DateSept. 4Aug. 17
Opponent, venueDallas Wings, Chase CenterDallas Wings, Chase Center
Score84-8078-70
Record on the night23-1825-9
Positioneighth seedsecond in the league

Records are as of the clinching game; Golden State finished the 2025 regular season 23-21.

Nakase, the reigning Coach of the Year, matched last season's 23-win total in 12 fewer games. That is the cleanest single measure of what has changed: the same head coach, a deeper rotation, and a defensive template the roster now executes without needing a hot shooting night to survive.

Williams framed it around the process rather than the result after the game. "I'm more excited just about how we've done it more than us doing it," she said. "I knew we were going to do it since I got here, but I didn't expect us to do it this way and have this much fun."

A list of 14, across every North American league

The 2025 season made the Valkyries the first expansion franchise in WNBA history to reach the playoffs in year one. It also produced 21 sellouts, an 18,064 average attendance that stands as the highest in league history, and a first-round exit — swept 0-2 by top-seeded Minnesota, with Game 2 lost by a single point, 74-75.

That first postseason came with an asterisk of logistics rather than merit. A pre-existing booking at Chase Center pushed the club's home playoff game to SAP Center in San Jose, roughly 40 miles south.

Doing it again in year two puts Golden State in a much smaller category: by the San Francisco Chronicle's count, the 14th team in North American professional sports history to reach the postseason in each of its first two seasons of existence. The relevant point is not the trivia. It is that the 2025 run, which read at the time as an unusually well-drafted roster catching a soft eighth seed, now reads as a functioning organisation.

The building has held up its end. More than 18,000 turned out again on Monday for another sellout, with Warriors general manager Mike Dunleavy, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II and Stephen Curry shown on the video board during the second-quarter surge.

Seeding, tiebreakers and a Wednesday date with Minnesota

The berth is settled. The seed is not, and the tiebreaker maths is not friendly.

Minnesota is 29-7, three games clear at the top, and Golden State is 0-2 against the Lynx this season with two meetings left — the first of them Wednesday at Chase Center. Las Vegas sits third at 24-12. The WNBA's first tiebreaker is head-to-head win percentage, and the Valkyries lost that series to the Aces 0-3 with no games remaining, meaning any finish level on record with Las Vegas breaks against Golden State.

So the cushion in the standings is doing real work. Hold it and the Valkyries open the postseason at home for the first time in franchise history; lose it and they repeat last year's arrangement of travelling for Game 1.

The schedule does not ease off, either. Monday's game began a run of seven games in 14 days before the league breaks for the FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup, which is the stretch Nakase has spent the past fortnight preparing her rotation for. Dallas, meanwhile, hosts Indiana on Thursday, still holding the eighth and final playoff place at 20-16.

What people are saying

The organisational point is the one worth holding onto: an expansion side that leans on an established front office, facilities and scouting network starts from a very different baseline than one built from scratch, and future WNBA expansion bids will be measured against that template.

K
u/Key-Mission5704Reddit2026-08-18

One of thee most impressive starts to a team I’ve ever seen Golden State is one of one on the NBA and WNBA side 😭…

Attachment usually takes an expansion franchise years to earn, and it is normally purchased with losing seasons; getting there this quickly is the part of the story that shapes ticket renewals and sponsorship talks long after the bracket is settled.

T
u/the_irish_potatoesReddit2026-08-18

Incredible season, incredible TWO seasons. This team has been so fun to root for!

Few fanbases name their building and then live up to it, but the underlying point is sound — crowd noise is the single competitive asset a first-year roster can have at full strength from day one, and Golden State has treated it as infrastructure rather than decoration.

W
u/Wonderful-View-6366Reddit2026-08-18

Citizens of BallHalla bringing that sixth woman energy!! Go Valks!! 👏👏👏👏😎⚔️💜

Comments sourced from public Reddit threads. Individual experiences may vary.

Share:
M

Contributor

News & Analysis · odds.guru

View Marcus's profile

Marcus Chen covers news, industry developments, and timely analysis for odds.guru. His archive also includes earlier guides and platform explainers.

Industry newsSports bettingPrediction markets

About this byline: Marcus Chen is an editorial pen name used by odds.guru for news and analysis, with earlier guides and platform explainers retained under the same byline. Articles carrying this byline are approved by an accountable editor under our editorial standards. Read our editorial standards.

Related guide: How to Bet on the NBA: The Complete Guide

AI & editorial disclosure

OddsGuru may use AI tools to support research, drafting, editing, formatting, and production workflows. Every published article is reviewed and approved by an editor before publication. AI tools do not publish articles independently, and editorial responsibility remains with the OddsGuru team. Read our AI usage policy

Affiliate & risk disclosure

OddsGuru may earn a commission when readers visit partners through links on this page. Our news coverage is informational only and should not be treated as betting, financial, legal, or investment advice. Odds, prices, markets, availability, and eligibility can change. Always check the operator's terms and gamble responsibly. Affiliate disclosure · Responsible trading · Terms