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odds.guru

Methodology

How we convert odds

The formulas behind /tools/odds-converter. Last updated 2026-05-04.

Sportsbook odds tell you two things: what payout you get if you win, and what probability the bookmaker assigns to the outcome. Four common formats — American, Decimal, Fractional, and Implied Probability — encode the same underlying numbers differently. This page explains each format, the formulas to convert between them, and what bookmaker margin (“vig”) does to the implied probabilities you read.

01

The four formats

  • American (US odds): positive numbers (e.g. +150) show how much you win on a $100 stake. Negative numbers (e.g. −200) show how much you must risk to win $100.
  • Decimal (European): the multiplier on your stake including the stake (e.g. 2.50 means $1 returns $2.50 total — $1.50 profit + the $1 back).
  • Fractional (UK): profit-to-stake ratio (e.g. 3/2 means $2 staked returns $3 profit + $2 stake = $5 total).
  • Implied probability: the probability of the outcome that breaks even on a fair bet at those odds.
02

Conversion formulas

American → Decimal:

if american > 0:  decimal = (american / 100) + 1
if american < 0:  decimal = (100 / |american|) + 1

Decimal → American:

if decimal >= 2.0:  american = (decimal − 1) × 100
if decimal < 2.0:   american = −100 / (decimal − 1)

Decimal → Fractional:

profit_ratio = decimal − 1
fraction = simplify(profit_ratio_numerator / profit_ratio_denominator)

We use Euclidean GCD reduction to keep fractions in lowest terms. Continued-fraction approximation for irrational decimal values (very rare in published odds; usually a rounding artifact).

Decimal → Implied Probability:

implied_prob = 1 / decimal

Implied Probability → Decimal:

decimal = 1 / probability
03

Vig and what implied probability really means

Implied probability from sportsbook odds is notthe bookmaker’s belief about the outcome. It includes the bookmaker’s margin (the “vig” or “juice”). On a coin flip, fair odds are 2.00 on each side (50% implied each); a bookmaker offering 1.91 on each side is quoting 52.4% implied each — total 104.8% — with the 4.8% being their margin.

To get the bookmaker’s “true” estimate, you can normalize implied probabilities so they sum to 100%: true_prob_i = implied_i / sum(implied_j for all outcomes). This assumes the vig is split evenly across outcomes; in reality bookmakers shade lines, so the assumption is approximate.

04

Worked examples

  • +150 (American) → 2.50 (Decimal) → 3/2 (Fractional) → 40% (Implied)
  • −200 (American) → 1.50 (Decimal) → 1/2 (Fractional) → 66.7% (Implied)
  • 2.00 / +100 / 1/1 / 50% — the canonical even-money bet
  • 1.91 / −110 / 10/11 / 52.4% — standard NFL spread; the 2.4% above 50% is the vig
05

Limitations

  • Fractional rounding: irrational decimals (e.g. 2.333…) approximate to nearby simple fractions (7/3) for readability. The implied probability shown is computed from the original decimal, not the rounded fraction.
  • Implied probability does not equal market probability. See §3 — it includes vig.
  • We don’t support negative-decimal or push handling; standard sportsbook odds are always positive decimal.
06

Run a conversion

The converter at /tools/odds-converter handles all four formats interchangeably. Type in any field; the others update.

07

Frequently asked questions

What's the easiest odds format to read?
Decimal. The number is your total return (including stake) per $1 bet. 2.50 means $1 returns $2.50 total. American odds carry useful information about whether the bet is favored (negative) or underdog (positive) but the math is harder to do in your head.
What does −110 mean?
Negative American odds: you must risk that amount to win $100. So −110 means risk $110 to win $100. Equivalent in decimal: 1.91. Implied probability: 52.4%. The 2.4% above 50% is the bookmaker’s vig.
What is vig (or juice) on a sportsbook line?
The bookmaker’s margin built into the odds. On a fair coin flip, both sides should pay 2.00. A book offering 1.91 on each side is implying 52.4% on each — total 104.8%. The 4.8% above 100% is the vig: profit the book keeps regardless of outcome.
How do I convert American to Decimal odds?
Positive American: divide by 100, add 1. +150 → 1.50 + 1 = 2.50.
Negative American: divide 100 by the absolute value, add 1. −200 → 100/200 + 1 = 0.5 + 1 = 1.50.
Why don't implied probabilities sum to 100%?
Because of the vig. Bookmakers don’t quote fair odds — they shade implied probabilities upward so the total exceeds 100%. The amount over is the bookmaker’s edge. To estimate the bookmaker’s true belief, normalize each implied probability by dividing by the total.